This blog is maintained by RiskandForecast.com, the website for professionals who are interested in politics in Central Europe and the Near East. RiskandForecast.com is Political Capital’s international website.

Introducing Political Capital

Political Capital Policy Research & Consulting Institute (Political Capital) is a member of the London-based, British-Swiss owned Communications First Consulting Ltd, a thriving group of companies that offer comprehensive analytical and consulting services.

Political Capital has become the leading Central European political research institute by every business and professional standard over the past few years. The Institute was founded in 2001, and was awarded the Business Superbrands prize in 2008. Political Capital’s analyst division, which includes Risk and Forecast, operates entirely independently of its consultancy division.

Political Capital prepares political and macroeconomic analyses and risk forecasts. We also provide campaign consultancy in Central Europe (excluding Hungary) and in the Middle East.

Main fields of research:

  • Political Risk Analysis and Forecast
  • Macroeconomic Research
  • Industry Analysis
  • Research on Extremist Groups and Radical Political Tendencies
  • Election Studies
  • Political Campaign Research
  • Policy Research

Political Capital’s clients are multinational companies, commercial chambers, lobbyists, embassies, international media, governments and political parties outside of Hungary. Our goal is to provide fast, reliable and accurate information on every aspect of politics and policy that can influence our clients’ everyday work.

Risk Forecast  Division

Political Capital Risk Forecast Division (PC RFD) is an international network of analysts (macroeconomists and econometric experts, political scientists, sociologists and social psychologists, mathematicians) who analyse various fields of political risk that may impact the political stability or the economic environment of a given country or region.

Our accuracy and reliability are rooted the in-depth knowledge of that can only come from local expertise. That is why we only prepare forecasts in countries where we have local, “native” analysts.
PC RFD offers indispensable services to investors, political and economic decision-makers and analysts.  Our goal is to help our clients make strategic decisions, diminish risk, and prepare for upcoming socio-political and economic changes before they happen.
The expertise of Political Capital Risk Forecast Division

PC RFD has an excellent track record, with an organizational structure, methodology and staff that have proven value. The division offers analyses and forecasts that use both qualitative and quantitative data. The quantitative, scalable measures (based on international data sources, comparative public opinion and attitude surveys) is useful for precise risk evaluations (e.g.  sovereign credit risk ratings, insurance risk assessment).

Whether it is a particular future investment, service, product, sector, a given indicator or overall political risk that interests our client, we can identify and apply the precise, relevant combination of political and economic variables at regional, national and local levels. Moreover, we can deliver our findings and data in a format that best suits our client’s own methodology.

PC Risk Forecast Division can predict the important changes and evaluate the political risks that influence the political stability, general business environment, growth outlooks, and fiscal, monetary and financial conditions of a given country.

The advantage of good forecasts

Insufficient information on a country’s political environment can lead to significant losses – both in terms of money and prestige. Our Risk Forecast Division’s reliability is based on our analysts’ knowledge of the local political and economical environment.

To optimize business decisions, it is crucial to understand a country’s political environment (domestic political, geopolitical and national security relations, governmental stability and goals, extremist and radical tendencies, predictability and efficiency of institutions, economic policy and regulations) and economic conditions. Political Capital offers services that help clients map out the economic and political environment of the countries we cover.

We help investors find partners and/or opportunities for investments, and offer background analyses and strategic consultancy to political decision-makers, lobby groups and NGOs. We help investors to be prepared for investments in the region, to understand local political life and background for regulation and government policies.

PC RFD provides fast, reliable and accurate exclusive information on every aspect of politics and policy in Hungary that can deeply influence our clients’ everyday work, but which is not covered by the mainstream press. Our methodology makes political and economic risks quantifiable, which makes them easier to face, handle and diminish.

Countries covered by Political Capital

Central Europe

  • Hungary
  • Poland
  • Slovakia
  • Czech Republic

South-East Europe

  • Bulgaria
  • Bosnia and Herczegovina
  • Serbia
  • Croatia
  • Macedonia
  • Montenegro
  • Romania
  • Slovenia

Middle East

  • United Arab Emirates
  • Yemen
  • Oman
  • Kuwait
  • Bahrain
  • Qatar
  • Saudi Arabia
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