Political Forecast (bi-weekly) provides short- and mid-term forecasts on political and government policy changes. It also analyses political events and gives background information never seen in the media but crucial for evaluating country risks. Moreover, our Analyst Consensus offers political stability and risk analyses in a quantified form. Download sample
Reforms & Risks newsletter and forecast (monthly) evaluates the status and prospects of economic and political reforms with a particular view to identifying and evaluating the potential risk for business and for political environment for a specific country. Download sample
Customized Forecast, based on a flexible methodology, offers a prognosis focusing on specific political and economic trends of a country or region in order to suit the customers political/ business goals as well as other fields of activity. Customized forecast provides professional support for effective decision making in business.
Risk Warning reveals specific political or economic threats which have to be considered when making business decisions as they have a significant impact on the political stability, economic growth outlooks, fiscal, monetary or financial conditions of a country. The risks exposed, analysed and the trends extrapolated in these warnings may have a considerable effect on the general business climate or on the profitability of a specific sector of the economy. Visit our Risk Warning section.
Flash Report gives a short but deep insight into particular topics which are generally important for the economic or political players in a region or a country. Flash Report draws and analyzes tendencies which do not pose an immediate threat but are potential risk factors considering political and/or economic stability. Visit our Flash Report section.
In-depth analysis reveals the background of current significant political or economic events (e.g. elections, replacement of important economic policy decisions, replacement of government politicians, etc.), providing background information and analysis that can never be found in the media. Political Capital also prepares sector-specific analyses for key industries in order to support the business decisions of investors. Visit our In-depth Analysis section.
Regional Risk Watch (bi-weekly) offers a comprehensive overview of the most important political events and tendencies of a given region that have an impact for the political, institutional and economic stability of given countries and the region as a whole. Download sample
Risk indices (annual). Political Capital’s Risk Forecast Division (RFD) measures the political and economic risks of Hungary in different dimensions. Based on its findings, RFD publishes the Political Risk Index (PC PRI), and the Economic Risk Index (EcoRisk), the annual social-political and economic stability markers of Hungary. Our method, based on objectivity, takes into consideration both the numeric data (opinion polls, criminal statistics, economic data) and the opinion of experts. The results of the analysis are announced at a joint press conference with influential Economic Weekly Figyelő. For further information visit this page.
DEREX is a unique index based on the methodology developed by Political Capital that helps better understand the demand for right-wing extremism in different societies. DEREX compares 32 countries in Europe and Asia. Please read more about DEREX
Report – Extremism and Radicalism in Hungary (annual)
In cooperation with The Hungarian Anti-Racist Foundation, Political Capital annually summarises and analyses the tendencies of Hungarian ethnic stereotypes and prejudices, the social impact of extremist groups and gives recommendations for social and political actors for handling the extremist organizations. The analysis is published every year at a joint press conference. Read last year’s study here.
Social Competitiveness Index (biennial)
While the traditional indicators of economic competitiveness reflect the actual fundamental conditions of the economy, the Social Competitiveness Index shows the opportunities and threats in the social and human conditions which can determine the development and improvement of a country in the long run. Social Competitiveness is the human potential of a nation or society to improve its productivity and economic efficiency. Higher Social Competitiveness indicates a stronger flexibility and capability to adapt to the changing circumstances, the ability to overcome social and economic crises, and the social cohesion that makes a nation resistant to paralysing social tensions and conflicts. SCI focuses on subjective and cultural factors (social norms and values, mentality and attitudes) instead of objective, structural and institutional indicators. The Social Competitiveness Index (SCI) is issued every second year on a set of European countries.